在 BTC 飙升至 8 万美元以上后，比特币交易者是否应该留意警告信号？

The questions surrounding whether Bitcoin [BTC] can maintain its bullish push have become more pressing lately. Especially as the crypto surged past $80,000 over the last 24 hours.

这个时机很有趣，因为市场一直在闪现出混合信号，判断需求是否正在回升、反弹是否正在形成，或者这是否是一个可能导致下跌的局部高点。

Inactivity may be good for Bitcoin

据 Alphractal 称，比特币的 1 年活跃供应量最近降至 749 万个低点。

The metric represents how much Bitcoin is active in the market. When the supply falls significantly, it suggests that fewer Bitcoin are being moved from their wallets.

Typically, when there’s a decline to this level over a 12-month period, it alludes to a strong willingness among investors to hold. The same is often driven by expectations of a rally in the near to long term.

Now, while this doesn’t confirm a bottom for Bitcoin, other factors did seem to hint at a gradual shift in market dynamics.

根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，比特币的外汇储备在 8 月 17 日达到 273 万的局部峰值后有所下降。 It had dropped to 2.70 million at the time of writing.

各交易所的比特币余额下降意味着市场上可供出售的比特币减少。这可以在某种程度上保护价格免受突然暴跌的影响。

Is there a bottom signal?

There’s no clear sign that the bottom for BTC is in yet.然而，对于世界上最大的加密货币来说，仍然存在一些令人担忧的迹象。

For instance, recent data indicated that while market activity has been subdued, Bitcoin’s rally has faced significant sell pressure. Sellers offloaded roughly $1.2 billion worth of BTC between 23rd August and 1st September, averaging about $120 million in daily sales.

这还不是全部。 Bitcoin’s apparent demand also flipped negative over the last 24 hours, suggesting that distribution may be ongoing.

最后，CryptoQuant 还透露，净流量中大约有 127,940 个比特币退出交易所。 This alluded to weaker demand and a gradual hike in available supply.

现在，虽然这仍然是价格的主要威胁，但 AMBCrypto 之前的分析表明，76,000 美元的水平仍将是对 BTC 的关键考验。它可以决定市场是否会再次下跌。 Despite the cryptocurrency’s recent foray past $80,000.

For now, sellers are using the recent rally to take profits.尽管市场一直没有明确证实比特币牛市。

最终总结